文献类型： 外文期刊
作者： Xu Lei 1 ; Zhang Qiao 1 ;
作者机构： 1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
关键词： agricultural catastrophic risk;extreme value theory;BMM model;POT model
期刊名称：INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURAL RISK AND FOOD SECURITY 2010
ISSN： 2210-7843
年卷期： 2010 年 1 卷
页码：
收录情况： SCI
摘要： The paper aims to develop approaches for modeling agricultural catastrophic risk. According to extreme value theory, this study applies the block maxima and peak-over-threshold models to analyze and evaluate the agricultural catastrophic risk illustrated by cases of extreme rainfall in Jilin Province. This study provides the basic statistical analysis framework for evaluating agricultural catastrophic risk. (C) 2010 Published by Elsevier B.V.
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