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An Agent-based Population Model for China

文献类型: 会议论文

第一作者: Zhongxin Chen

作者: Zhongxin Chen 1 ; Einar Holm 2 ; Huajun Tang 1 ; Kalle Makila 2 ; Wenjuan Li 1 ; Shenghe Liu 3 ;

作者机构: 1.Institute of Agriculture Resources & regional Planning, The Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 100081, China

2.Kiruna Spatial Modelling Centre, Ume University, SE98128, Sweden

3.Institute of Geographical Science & Natural Resources Research, 100101, China

关键词: Agent-Based Model;SVERIGE;Population;Prediction;China

会议名称: Computer and computing technologies in agriculture.

主办单位:

页码: 441-448

摘要: Human is a crucial factor responsible for local and large scale environmental change and is a key factor in rural management. Accurate simulating and predicting population change and its spatial distribution is of great interests to environmental scientists as well as social scientists. In this paper, we introduced the development of a spatial-explicit agent-based population model for China based on a prototype from SVERIGE model. The model was used to predict the population in China. The validation result shows that agent-based model performances well in population prediction in China.

分类号: S126

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