Who determines food prices? - Based on the Simulation analysis of China Economy-wide Multi-market Model
文献类型: 会议论文
第一作者: XU Shi-wei
作者: XU Shi-wei 1 ; Zhang Yu-mei 1 ; LI Zhe-min 1 ; KONG Fan-tao 1 ; Wang yu 1 ; Cui Li-guo 1 ;
作者机构: 1.Agricultural Information Institute of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
关键词: Food price;China Economy-wide Multi-market Model (CEMM);Simulation
会议名称: International Conference on Advanced ICT and Education
主办单位:
页码: 767-775
摘要: Food prices kept rising up and had affected residents' life quality during recent years. Food prices trends and the determinants behind attract wide attentions. China Economy-wide Multi-market Model (CEMM) is constructed to simulate the price effects of supply and demand in this paper. Three scenarios are designed to access the price effects of supply, demand and their combine effects, respectively. The results shows that the production costs rising and constrained supply are the main important factors which lead to food prices rising. The boosting demand for maize as industrial use and livestock products also put a great pressure on food price rising. Ensuring the supply of main grains and meats is one of important tasks for the government to stabilize the price. So, the fourth scenario is designed to evaluate the price effects of the increase in production. The model simulation results evident that the improvement of productivity is an effective measure to slow rising food price.
分类号: tp3-53
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