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Wordle User Prediction and Analysis Based on SARIMA Algorithm, LSTM Recurrent Neural Network, and XGBoost Model

文献类型: 会议论文

第一作者: Muhao Shi

作者: Muhao Shi 1 ; Yilong Huang 1 ; Lejian Zhang 1 ; Zetong Jin 2 ; Yuhan Zhang 3 ;

作者机构: 1.College of Physics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China

2.College of Biomass Science and Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China

3.School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China

关键词: Analytical models;Recurrent neural networks;Mechatronics;Time series analysis;Games;Machine learning;Predictive models

会议名称: International Conference on Mechatronics, IoT and Industrial Informatics

主办单位:

页码: 616-620

摘要: This paper presents an analysis of Wordle user prediction and analysis using the SARIMA algorithm, LSTM recurrent neural network, and XGBoost model. Firstly, the SARIMA algorithm is employed for time series analysis, predicting the future changes in the number of Wordle game participants based on the 2022 data. The model forecasts that the number of Wordle game participants on March 1, 2023, will be 16854.200060080555, with a corresponding prediction interval of ±13883.579317580654. Subsequently, text feature vectorization and other methods are utilized to classify words based on different attributes such as letter frequency, repetition count, Grade Level, Word Rank, and Syllable Count. Furthermore, LSTM and XGBoost models are separately employed to train the relationship between different word attributes and seven different scoring proportions, predicting future scoring situations based on the respective models. The final predicted conditions for the word "EERIE" on March 1, 2023, are as follows: LSTM: {0.0000, 13.4734, 19.0247, 40.0381, 18.9592, 7.1761, 1.3284}, XGBoost: {1.0349, 8.5148, 28.5024, 28.5481, 19.6343, 9.0262, 1.6482} (rounded to four decimal places). The average 7% RMSE for both models is 1.0073 and 4.9797, indicating high reliability.

分类号: th15`tp3

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