文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Liu, Ke ¹ ; Harrison, Matthew Tom ¹ ; Yan, Haoliang ³ ; Liu, De Li ⁴ ; Meinke, Holger ¹ ; Hoogenboom, Gerrit ⁶ ; Wang, Bin ⁴ ; Peng, Bin ⁷ ; Guan, Kaiyu ⁷ ; Jaegermeyr, Jonas ¹⁰ ; Wang, Enli ¹³ ; Zhang, Feng ¹⁴ ; Yin, Xiaogang ¹⁵ ; Archontoulis, Sotirios ¹⁶ ; Nie, Lixiao ¹⁷ ; Badea, Ana ¹⁸ ; Man, Jianguo ¹⁹ ; Wallach, Daniel ²⁰ ; Zhao, Jin ²¹ ; Benjumea, Ana Borrego ¹⁸ ; Fahad, Shah ²² ; Tian, Xiaohai ² ; Wang, Weilu ²³ ; Tao, Fulu ²⁴ ; Zhang, Zhao ²⁶ ; Roetter, Reimund ²⁷ ; Yuan, Youlu ³ ; Zhu, Min ¹⁸ ; Dai, Panhong ²⁸ ; Nie, Jiangwen ¹⁵ ; Yang, Yadong ¹⁵ ; Zhang, Yunbo ² ; Zhou, Meixue ¹ ;

作者机构： 1.Univ Tasmania, Tasmanian Inst Agr, Newnham Dr, Launceston, Tas, Australia

2.Yangtze Univ, Coll Agr, MARA Key Lab Sustainable Crop Prod Middle Reaches, Jingzhou, Peoples R China

3.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Cotton Res, State Key Lab Cotton Biol, Anyang, Peoples R China

4.New South Wales Dept Primary Ind, Wagga Wagga Agr Inst, Wagga Wagga, NSW, Australia

5.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia

6.Univ Florida, Dept Agr & Biol Engn, IFAS, Gainesville, FL USA

7.Univ Illinois, Inst Sustainabil Energy & Environm, Agroecosyst Sustainabil Ctr, Urbana, IL USA

8.Univ Illinois, Coll Agr Consumer & Environm Sci, Urbana, IL USA

9.Univ Illinois, Natl Ctr Supercomp Applicat, Urbana, IL USA

10.NASA Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY USA

11.Columbia Univ, Ctr Climate Syst Res, New York, NY USA

12.Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impacts Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany

13.Commonwealth Sci & Ind Res Org CSIRO Agr & Food, Canberra, ACT, Australia

14.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Ecol, State Key Lab Grassland Agroecosyst, Lanzhou, Peoples R China

15.China Agr Univ, Coll Agron & Biotechnol, Beijing, Peoples R China

16.Iowa State Univ, Dept Agron, Ames, IA USA

17.Hainan Univ, Coll Trop Crops, Res Ctr Physiol & Ecol & Green Cultivat Trop Crop, Haikou, Hainan, Peoples R China

18.Agr & AgriFood Canada, Brandon Res & Dev Ctr, 2701 Grand Valley Rd, Brandon R7A 5Y3, MB, Canada

19.Huazhong Agr Univ, Coll Plant Sci & Technol, MARA Key Lab Crop Ecophysiol & Farming Syst Middl, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China

20.Natl Inst Agr Res INRAE, UMR AGIR, Castanet Tolosan, France

21.China Agr Univ Beijing China, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China

22.Abdul Wali Khan Univ Mardan, Dept Agron, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

23.Yangzhou Univ, Joint Int Res Lab Agr & AgriProd Safety Minist Ed, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

24.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China

25.Nat Resources Inst Finland Luke, Latokartanonkaari 9, Latokartanonkaari 00790, Finland

26.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Natl Safety & Emergency Management, Beijing, Beijing, Peoples R China

27.Univ Gottingen, Trop Plant Prod & Agr Syst Modelling TROPAGS, Grisebachstr 6, D-37077 Gottingen, Germany

28.Anyang Inst Technol, Sch Comp Sci & Informat Engn, Anyang, Peoples R China

期刊名称：NATURE COMMUNICATIONS （ 影响因子：16.6； 五年影响因子：17.0 ）

ISSN：

年卷期： 2023 年 14 卷 1 期

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Extreme weather events threaten food security, yet global assessments of impacts caused by crop waterlogging are rare. Here we first develop a paradigm that distils common stress patterns across environments, genotypes and climate horizons. Second, we embed improved process-based understanding into a farming systems model to discern changes in global crop waterlogging under future climates. Third, we develop avenues for adapting cropping systems to waterlogging contextualised by environment. We find that yield penalties caused by waterlogging increase from 3-11% historically to 10-20% by 2080, with penalties reflecting a trade-off between the duration of waterlogging and the timing of waterlogging relative to crop stage. We document greater potential for waterlogging-tolerant genotypes in environments with longer temperate growing seasons (e.g., UK, France, Russia, China), compared with environments with higher annualised ratios of evapotranspiration to precipitation (e.g., Australia). Under future climates, altering sowing time and adoption of waterlogging-tolerant genotypes reduces yield penalties by 18%, while earlier sowing of winter genotypes alleviates waterlogging by 8%. We highlight the serendipitous outcome wherein waterlogging stress patterns under present conditions are likely to be similar to those in the future, suggesting that adaptations for future climates could be designed using stress patterns realised today.