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A hybrid CNN-LSTM model for predicting PM2.5 in Beijing based on spatiotemporal correlation

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Ding, Chen 1 ; Wang, Guizhi 1 ; Zhang, Xinyue 2 ; Liu, Qi 3 ; Liu, Xiaodong 4 ;

作者机构： 1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Math & Stat, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China

2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Environm & Sustainable Dev Agr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China

3.Shandong Beiming Med Technol Ltd, Jinan 250000, Peoples R China

4.Edinburgh Napier Univ, Sch Comp, 10 Colinton Rd, Edinburgh EH10 5DT, Midlothian, Scotland

关键词： Convolutional neural networks; Deep learning; Long short-term memory networks; PM2.5; prediction; Spatiotemporal correlation

期刊名称：ENVIRONMENTAL AND ECOLOGICAL STATISTICS （ 影响因子：0.981； 五年影响因子：0.909 ）

ISSN： 1352-8505

年卷期：

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Long-term exposure to air environments full of suspended particles, especially PM2.5, would seriously damage people's health and life (i.e., respiratory diseases and lung cancers). Therefore, accurate PM2.5 prediction is important for the government authorities to take preventive measures. In this paper, the advantages of convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory networks (LSTM) models are combined. Then a hybrid CNN-LSTM model is proposed to predict the daily PM2.5 concentration in Beijing based on spatiotemporal correlation. Specifically, a Pearson's correlation coefficient is adopted to measure the relationship between PM2.5 in Beijing and air pollutants in its surrounding cities. In the hybrid CNN-LSTM model, the CNN model is used to learn spatial features, while the LSTM model is used to extract the temporal information. In order to evaluate the proposed model, three evaluation indexes are introduced, including root mean square error, mean absolute percent error, and R-squared. As a result, the hybrid CNN-LSTM model achieves the best performance compared with the Multilayer perceptron model (MLP) and LSTM. Moreover, the prediction accuracy of the proposed model considering spatiotemporal correlation outperforms the same model without spatiotemporal correlation. Therefore, the hybrid CNN-LSTM model can be adopted for PM2.5 concentration prediction.

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